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basic statistics introduction to statistics .pptx
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Copyright © 2020
Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 1 Defining and Collecting Data Chapter 1
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 2 Objectives In this chapter you learn: To understand issues that arise when defining variables. How to define variables. To understand the different measurement scales. How to collect data. To identify different ways to collect a sample. To understand the issues involved in data preparation. To understand the types of survey errors.
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 3 Classifying Variables By Type Categorical (qualitative) variables take categories as their values such as “yes”, “no”, or “blue”, “brown”, “green”. Numerical (quantitative) variables have values that represent a counted or measured quantity. Discrete variables arise from a counting process. Continuous variables arise from a measuring process. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 4 Examples of Types of Variables DCOVA Question Responses Variable Type Do you have a Facebook profile? Yes or No Categorical How many text messages have you sent in the past three days? --------------- Numerical (discrete) How long did the mobile app update take to download? --------------- Numerical (continuous)
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 5 Types of Variables DCOVA Variables Categorical Numerical Discrete Continuous Examples: Marital Status Political Party Eye Color (Defined Categories) Examples: Number of Children Defects per hour (Counted items) Examples: Weight Voltage (Measured characteristics) Nominal Ordinal Examples: Ratings Good, Better, Best Low, Med, High (Ordered Categories)
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 6 Measurement Scales A nominal scale classifies data into distinct categories in which no ranking is implied. Categorical Variables Categories Do you have a Facebook profile? Type of investment Cellular Provider Yes, No AT&T, Sprint, Verizon, Other, None Growth, Value, Other DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 7 Measurement Scales (con’t.) An ordinal scale classifies data into distinct categories in which ranking is implied. Categorical Variable Ordered Categories Student class designation Freshman, Sophomore, Junior, Senior Product satisfaction Very unsatisfied, Fairly unsatisfied, Neutral, Fairly satisfied, Very satisfied Faculty rank Professor, Associate Professor, Assistant Professor, Instructor Standard & Poor’s bond ratings AAA, AA, A, BBB, BB, B, CCC, CC, C, DDD, DD, D Student Grades A, B, C, D, F DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 8 Measurement Scales (con’t.) An interval scale is an ordered scale in which the difference between measurements is a meaningful quantity but the measurements do not have a true zero point. A ratio scale is an ordered scale in which the difference between the measurements is a meaningful quantity and the measurements have a true zero point. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 9 Interval and Ratio Scales DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 10 Data Is Collected From Either A Population or A Sample POPULATION A population contains all of the items or individuals of interest that you seek to study. SAMPLE A sample contains only a portion of a population of interest. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 11 Population vs. Sample All the items or individuals about which you want to draw conclusion(s). A portion of the population of items or individuals. Population Sample DCOVA A Population of Size 40 A Sample of Size 4
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 12 Collecting Data Via Sampling Is Used When Doing So Is Less time consuming than selecting every item in the population. Less costly than selecting every item in the population. Less cumbersome and more practical than analyzing the entire population. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 13 Parameter or Statistic? A population parameter summarizes the value of a specific variable for a population. A sample statistic summarizes the value of a specific variable for sample data. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 14 Sources Of Data Arise From The Following Activities Capturing data generated by ongoing business activities. Distributing data compiled by an organization or individual. Compiling the responses from a survey. Conducting a designed experiment and recording the outcomes. Conducting an observational study and recording the results. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 15 Examples of Data Collected From Ongoing Business Activities A bank studies years of financial transactions to help them identify patterns of fraud. Economists utilize data on searches done via Google to help forecast future economic conditions. Marketing companies use tracking data to evaluate the effectiveness of a web site. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 16 Examples Of Data Distributed By An Organization or Individual Financial data on a company provided by investment services. Industry or market data from market research firms and trade associations. Stock prices, weather conditions, and sports statistics in daily newspapers. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 17 Examples of Survey Data A survey asking people which laundry detergent has the best stain-removing abilities. Political polls of registered voters during political campaigns. People being surveyed to determine their satisfaction with a recent product or service experience. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 18 Examples of Data From A Designed Experiment Consumer testing of different versions of a product to help determine which product should be pursued further. Material testing to determine which supplier’s material should be used in a product. Market testing on alternative product promotions to determine which promotion to use more broadly. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 19 Examples of Data Collected From Observational Studies Market researchers utilizing focus groups to elicit unstructured responses to open-ended questions. Measuring the time it takes for customers to be served in a fast food establishment. Measuring the volume of traffic through an intersection to determine if some form of advertising at the intersection is justified. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 20 Observational Studies & Designed Experiments Have A Common Objective Both are attempting to quantify the effect that a process change (called a treatment) has on a variable of interest. In an observational study, there is no direct control over which items receive the treatment. In a designed experiment, there is direct control over which items receive the treatment. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 21 Sources of Data Primary Sources: The data collector is the one using the data for analysis: Data from a political survey. Data collected from an experiment. Observed data. Secondary Sources: The person performing data analysis is not the data collector: Analyzing census data. Examining data from print journals or data published on the internet. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 22 A Sampling Process Begins With A Sampling Frame The sampling frame is a listing of items that make up the population. Frames are data sources such as population lists, directories, or maps. Inaccurate or biased results can result if a frame excludes certain groups or portions of the population. Using different frames to generate data can lead to dissimilar conclusions. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 23 Types of Samples Samples Non Probability Samples Judgment Probability Samples Simple Random Systematic Stratified Cluster Convenience DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 24 Types of Samples: Nonprobability Sample In a nonprobability sample, items included are chosen without regard to their probability of occurrence. In convenience sampling, items are selected based only on the fact that they are easy, inexpensive, or convenient to sample. In a judgment sample, you get the opinions of pre- selected experts in the subject matter. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 25 Types of Samples: Probability Sample In a probability sample, items in the sample are chosen on the basis of known probabilities. Probability Samples Simple Random Systematic Stratified Cluster DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 26 Probability Sample: Simple Random Sample Every individual or item from the frame has an equal chance of being selected. Selection may be with replacement (selected individual is returned to frame for possible reselection) or without replacement (selected individual isn’t returned to the frame). Samples obtained from table of random numbers or computer random number generators. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 27 Selecting a Simple Random Sample Using A Random Number Table Sampling Frame For Population With 850 Items Item Name Item # Bev R. 001 Ulan X. 002 . . . . . . . . Joann P. 849 Paul F. 850 Portion Of A Random Number Table 49280 88924 35779 00283 81163 07275 11100 02340 12860 74697 96644 89439 09893 23997 20048 49420 88872 08401 The First 5 Items in a simple random sample Item # 492 Item # 808 Item # 892 -- does not exist so ignore Item # 435 Item # 779 Item # 002 DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 28 Decide on sample size: n Divide frame of N individuals into groups of k individuals: k=N/n Randomly select one individual from the 1st group Select every kth individual thereafter Probability Sample: Systematic Sample N = 40 n = 4 k = 10 First Group DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 29 Probability Sample: Stratified Sample Divide population into two or more subgroups (called strata) according to some common characteristic. A simple random sample is selected from each subgroup, with sample sizes proportional to strata sizes. Samples from subgroups are combined into one. This is a common technique when sampling population of voters, stratifying across racial or socio-economic lines. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 30 Probability Sample Cluster Sample Population is divided into several “clusters,” each representative of the population. A simple random sample of clusters is selected. All items in the selected clusters can be used, or items can be chosen from a cluster using another probability sampling technique. A common application of cluster sampling involves election exit polls, where certain election districts are selected and sampled. Population divided into 16 clusters. Randomly selected clusters for sample DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 31 Probability Sample: Comparing Sampling Methods Simple random sample and Systematic sample: Simple to use. May not be a good representation of the population’s underlying characteristics. Stratified sample: Ensures representation of individuals across the entire population. Cluster sample: More cost effective. Less efficient (need larger sample to acquire the same level of precision). DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 32 Data Cleaning Is An Important Data Preprocessing Task Prior To Analysis Data cleaning corrects irregularities in the data: Invalid variable values, including: Non-numerical data for numerical variable. Invalid categorical values for a categorical variable. Numeric values outside a defined range. Coding errors, including: Inconsistent categorical values. Inconsistent case for categorical values. Extraneous characters. Data integration errors, including: Redundant columns. Duplicated rows. Differing column lengths. Different units of measure or scale for numerical variables. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 33 Data Cleaning Cannot Be A Fully Automated Process Excel, JMP, and Minitab have functionality to lessen the burden of data cleaning. The software guides in the book explain this functionality. When performing data cleaning, always preserve a copy of the original data for later reference. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 34 Cleaning Invalid Variable Values Can Be Semi-Automated Invalid variable values can be identified by simple scanning techniques, for example: Non-numeric entries for numerical variables. Values for categorical variables that don’t match a pre-defined category. Values for a numeric variable outside a pre-defined explicit range. Features exist in Excel, JMP, or Minitab to assist in this task. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 35 Examples Of Coding Errors Copy-and-paste or data import can result in poor recording or entry of data. Categorical variable: Gender, Correct coding: F or M Correctable error: Female. Invalid data: New York. Correctable or software tolerated: m. Extraneous and nonprintable characters: Leading or trailing space(s): _F or F_. Other nonprintable characters may also be leading or trailing DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 36 Data Integration Errors From Combining Two Different Computerized Data Sources Data integration errors often requires time- consuming manual effort. Some examples: Variable names or definitions may differ. Duplicated rows (observations) may also occur. Different units of measurement (or scale) may not be obvious without human interpretation. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 37 Data Can Be Formatted and / or Encoded In More Than One Way Some electronic formats are more readily usable than others. Different encodings can impact the precision of numerical variables and can also impact data compatibility. As you identify and choose sources of data you need to consider / deal with these issues. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 38 Stacked vs Unstacked Data For unstacked data you create separate numerical variables for different groups (i.e. genders, locations, etc.) For stacked data you create a single column for the variable of interest and create additional columns for the potential grouping variables. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 39 After Collection It Is Often Helpful To Recode Some Variables Recoding a variable can either supplement or replace the original variable. Recoding a categorical variable involves redefining categories. Recoding a numerical variable involves changing this variable into a categorical variable. When recoding be sure that the new categories are mutually exclusive (categories do not overlap) and collectively exhaustive (categories cover all possible values). DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 40 Evaluating Survey Worthiness What is the purpose of the survey? Is the survey based on a probability sample? Coverage error – appropriate frame? Nonresponse error – follow up. Measurement error – good questions elicit good responses. Sampling error – always exists. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 41 Types of Survey Errors Coverage error or selection bias: Exists if some groups are excluded from the frame and have no chance of being selected. Nonresponse error or bias: People who do not respond may be different from those who do respond. Sampling error: Variation from sample to sample will always exist. Measurement error: Due to weaknesses in question design and / or respondent error. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 42 Types of Survey Errors Coverage error Nonresponse error Sampling error Measurement error Excluded from frame Follow up on nonresponses Random differences from sample to sample Bad or leading question (continued) DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 43 Ethical Issues About Surveys Coverage error and nonresponse error can be leveraged by survey designers to purposely bias survey results. Sampling error can be an ethical issue if the findings are purposely not reported with the associated margin of error. Measurement error can be an ethical issue: Survey sponsor chooses leading questions. Interviewer purposely leads respondents in a particular direction. Respondent(s) willfully provide false information. DCOVA
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Pearson Education Ltd. A LWAY S L E A R N I N G Slide 44 Chapter Summary In this chapter we have discussed: Understanding issues that arise when defining variables. How to define variables. Understanding the different measurement scales. How to collect data. Identifying different ways to collect a sample. Understanding the issues involved in data preparation. Understanding the types of survey errors.
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