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I Introduction to
Educational Statistics
Joseph Stevens, Ph.D., University of Oregon
(541) 346-2445, stevensj@uoregon.edu
I WHAT IS STATISTICS?
Statistics is a group of methods
used to collect, analyze, present, and
interpret data and to make decisions.
I POPULATION VERSUS SAMPLE
A vooulation consists of all elements -
A. A
individuals, items, or objects - whose
characteristics are being studied. The
population that is being studied is
also called the target population.
I POPULATION VERSUS SAMPLE
cont.
The portion of the population selected for
study is referred to as a sample.
I POPULATION VERSUS SAMPLE
cont.
A study that includes every member of
the population is called a census. The
technique of collecting information
from a portion of the population is
called sampling.
I POPULATION VERSUS SAMPLE
cont.
A sample drawn in such a way that each
element of the population has an
equal chance of being selected is
called a simple random sam.
.
.v. le.
I TYPES OF STATISTICS
Descriptive Statistics consists of
A.
methods for organizing, displaying, and
describing data by using tables, graphs,
and summary measures.
I TYPES OF STATISTICS
Inferential Statistics consists of
methods that use information from
samples to make predictions, decisions
or inferences about a population.
I Basic Definitions
A variable is a characteristic under study
that assumes different values for
clifferent elements. A variable on which
everyone has the same exact value is a cons
tant.
I Basic Definitions
The value of a variable for an
element is called an observation or
measurement.
I Basic Definitions
A data set is a collection of
observations on one or more variables.
A distribution is a collection of
observations or measurements on a
particular variable.
I TYPES OF VARIABLES
■ Quantitative Variables
□ Discrete Variables
□ Continuous Variables
■ Qualitative or Categorical Variables
I Quantitative Variables cont.
A variable whose values are countable is
called a discrete variable. In other words,
a discrete variable can assume only a
limited number of values with no
intermediate
values.
I Quantitative Variables cont.
A variable that can assume any numerical
value over a certain interval or intervals is
called a continuous variable.
I Categorical Variables
A variable that cannot assume a numerical
value but can be classified into two or more
categories is called a categorical variable.
I Scales of Measurement
■ How much information is contained in
the numbers?
■ Operational Definitions and measurement
procedures
■ Types of Scales
o Nominal
□ Ordinal
□ Interval
□ Ratio
I Descriptive Statistics
Variables can be summarized and displayed
usi•
ng:
□ Tables
□ Graphs and figures
□ Statistical summaries:
■ Measures of Central Tendency
■ Measures of Dispersion
■ Measures of Skew and I<.urtosis
I Measures of Central Tendency
■ Mode - The most frequent score
in a distribution
■ Median - The score that divides the
distribution into two groups of equal
size
■ Mean - The center of gravity or
balance point of the
distribution
I Median
The calculation of the median
consists of the following two steps:
■ Rank the data set in increasing order
■ Find the middle number in the data set
such that half of the scores are above
and half below. The value
ofthis middle number is the median.
I Arithmetic Mean
The mean is obtained by dividing the sum of
all values by the number of values in the data
set.
Mean for sample data:
n
I Example: Calculation of the mean
Four scores: 82, 95, 67, 92
n
I
T
h
e
Mean is the Center of Gravity
82
92 95
67
I
T
h
e
Mean is the Center of Gravity
X (X-X)
82 82- 84 = -2
95 95 - 84 = +11
67 67 - 84 = -17
92 92- 84 = +8
L(X - X ) =
0
Comparison of Measures of
Central Tendency
>,
(.)
C:
G)
::,
o-
uf
. variable
Mean Median Mode
I Measures of Dispersion
■ Range
■ Variance
■ Standard Deviation
I Range
Highest value in the distribution minus
the lowest value in the
distribution + 1
I Variance
■ Measure of how different scores are
on average in squared units:
I (X - X )2
/ N
I Standard Deviation
■ Returns variance to original scale units
Square root of variance = sd
I Other Descriptors of Distributions
■ Skew - how symmetrical is the
distribution
■ I<urtosis - how flat or peaked is
the distribution
I I<inds of Distributions
■ Uniform
■ Skewed
■ Bell-shaped or
Normal
■ Ogive or S-shaped
>,
0
C
>,
0
C
Cl)
Cl)
:::J :::J
CT Ca
,
T
a,
.
.
.
.
u
.
u
.
Variable
(a)
Variable
(b)
>,
0
>,
0
C
a
,
:::J
C
Cl)
:::J
CT CT
a, Cl)
.
.
..
.
u
.
u..
Vari abl
e
(c)
Vari able
(d)
I Normal distribution with mean µ and
standard deviation a
Standard
deviation =
rJ
Mean=µ X
I Total area under a normal curve.
The shaded area
is
1.0 or 100%
µ X
A normal curve is symmetric about the mean
Each of the two
shaded areas is .5
or 50%
.
5
µ X
I Areas of the normal curve beyond µ +
3a.
Each of the two shaded areas is
very close to zero
µ - 3 0 µ µ + 30 X
Three normal distribution curves with the
same mean but different standard deviations
- 0 =
5
µ = 50 X
Three normal distributions with different
means but the same standard deviation
a= 5 a= 5 a= 5
µ =20 µ =30 µ =40 X
I Areas under a normal curve
For a normal distribution approximately
1. 68°/o of the observations lie within
one standard deviation of the mean
2. 95°/o of the observations lie within
two standard deviations of the mean
3. 99.7°/o
of
the observations lie within three
standard deviations of the mean
99.7°/4- -
-
-
-
-
-
-
­
- - - - - - 95 %
µ - 30 µ
-
20 µ - 0 µ µ +0 µ +
20
µ +
30
I Score Scales
■ Raw Scores
■ Percentile Ranks
■ Grade Equivalents (GE)
■ Standard Scores
□ Normal Curve Equivalents
(NCE)
□ Z-scores
□ T-scores
□ College Board Scores
Approximately 34% of the Approximately 34% of the
scores fall between the mean scores fall between the mean
and one standard devlaUon and one standard deviation
below the mean. above the mean.
Approximately 14¾ of the Approximately 14¾ of the
scores fall between one scores fall between one
standard deviation and two standard deviation and two
standard deviations below standard deviations above
the mean. the mean.
13.59°1• 13.sgo.
2.14o/.
-3s -2s -1s x +1s +2s
+3s
/ / I
' '
Two standard One standard Mean (median One standard Two standard
deviations below deviation below and mode) deviation above
devlatlons above the mean the mean the mean the mean
If the meanIs 3.0 (Xa 3 .0 ) and the standard deviatlon is 1.0 (s 1.0) the scores a re as
follows:
0.0
(-3 s)
1.0
(-2 s)
2.0
(- 1s)
3.0
ex>
4 . 0
( + 1 $)
5.0
(+ 2 s )
6.0
(+
3s )
Normal Curve
Converting an X Value to a z Value
For a normal random variable X, a particular value
of x can be converted to its corresponding
z value by using the formula
z ==
X-µ
(J
whereµ and cr are the mean and standard
deviation of the normal distribution of x,
respectively.
I T
h
e Logic of Inferential Statistics
■ Population: the entire universe of
individuals we are interested in studying
■ Sample: the selected subgroup that is
actually observed and measured (with
sample size N)
■ Sampling Distribution of a Statistic: a
distribution of samples like ours
I T
h
e Three Distributions Used in
Inferential Statistics
I. Population
III. Sampling Distribution
of the Statistic
II. Sample

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Introduction to Educational Statistics.pptx

  • 1. I Introduction to Educational Statistics Joseph Stevens, Ph.D., University of Oregon (541) 346-2445, stevensj@uoregon.edu
  • 2. I WHAT IS STATISTICS? Statistics is a group of methods used to collect, analyze, present, and interpret data and to make decisions.
  • 3. I POPULATION VERSUS SAMPLE A vooulation consists of all elements - A. A individuals, items, or objects - whose characteristics are being studied. The population that is being studied is also called the target population.
  • 4. I POPULATION VERSUS SAMPLE cont. The portion of the population selected for study is referred to as a sample.
  • 5. I POPULATION VERSUS SAMPLE cont. A study that includes every member of the population is called a census. The technique of collecting information from a portion of the population is called sampling.
  • 6. I POPULATION VERSUS SAMPLE cont. A sample drawn in such a way that each element of the population has an equal chance of being selected is called a simple random sam. . .v. le.
  • 7. I TYPES OF STATISTICS Descriptive Statistics consists of A. methods for organizing, displaying, and describing data by using tables, graphs, and summary measures.
  • 8. I TYPES OF STATISTICS Inferential Statistics consists of methods that use information from samples to make predictions, decisions or inferences about a population.
  • 9. I Basic Definitions A variable is a characteristic under study that assumes different values for clifferent elements. A variable on which everyone has the same exact value is a cons tant.
  • 10. I Basic Definitions The value of a variable for an element is called an observation or measurement.
  • 11. I Basic Definitions A data set is a collection of observations on one or more variables. A distribution is a collection of observations or measurements on a particular variable.
  • 12. I TYPES OF VARIABLES ■ Quantitative Variables □ Discrete Variables □ Continuous Variables ■ Qualitative or Categorical Variables
  • 13. I Quantitative Variables cont. A variable whose values are countable is called a discrete variable. In other words, a discrete variable can assume only a limited number of values with no intermediate values.
  • 14. I Quantitative Variables cont. A variable that can assume any numerical value over a certain interval or intervals is called a continuous variable.
  • 15. I Categorical Variables A variable that cannot assume a numerical value but can be classified into two or more categories is called a categorical variable.
  • 16. I Scales of Measurement ■ How much information is contained in the numbers? ■ Operational Definitions and measurement procedures ■ Types of Scales o Nominal □ Ordinal □ Interval □ Ratio
  • 17. I Descriptive Statistics Variables can be summarized and displayed usi• ng: □ Tables □ Graphs and figures □ Statistical summaries: ■ Measures of Central Tendency ■ Measures of Dispersion ■ Measures of Skew and I<.urtosis
  • 18. I Measures of Central Tendency ■ Mode - The most frequent score in a distribution ■ Median - The score that divides the distribution into two groups of equal size ■ Mean - The center of gravity or balance point of the distribution
  • 19. I Median The calculation of the median consists of the following two steps: ■ Rank the data set in increasing order ■ Find the middle number in the data set such that half of the scores are above and half below. The value ofthis middle number is the median.
  • 20. I Arithmetic Mean The mean is obtained by dividing the sum of all values by the number of values in the data set. Mean for sample data: n
  • 21. I Example: Calculation of the mean Four scores: 82, 95, 67, 92 n
  • 22. I T h e Mean is the Center of Gravity 82 92 95 67
  • 23. I T h e Mean is the Center of Gravity X (X-X) 82 82- 84 = -2 95 95 - 84 = +11 67 67 - 84 = -17 92 92- 84 = +8 L(X - X ) = 0
  • 24. Comparison of Measures of Central Tendency >, (.) C: G) ::, o- uf . variable Mean Median Mode
  • 25. I Measures of Dispersion ■ Range ■ Variance ■ Standard Deviation
  • 26. I Range Highest value in the distribution minus the lowest value in the distribution + 1
  • 27. I Variance ■ Measure of how different scores are on average in squared units: I (X - X )2 / N
  • 28. I Standard Deviation ■ Returns variance to original scale units Square root of variance = sd
  • 29. I Other Descriptors of Distributions ■ Skew - how symmetrical is the distribution ■ I<urtosis - how flat or peaked is the distribution
  • 30. I I<inds of Distributions ■ Uniform ■ Skewed ■ Bell-shaped or Normal ■ Ogive or S-shaped
  • 32. I Normal distribution with mean µ and standard deviation a Standard deviation = rJ Mean=µ X
  • 33. I Total area under a normal curve. The shaded area is 1.0 or 100% µ X
  • 34. A normal curve is symmetric about the mean Each of the two shaded areas is .5 or 50% . 5 µ X
  • 35. I Areas of the normal curve beyond µ + 3a. Each of the two shaded areas is very close to zero µ - 3 0 µ µ + 30 X
  • 36. Three normal distribution curves with the same mean but different standard deviations - 0 = 5 µ = 50 X
  • 37. Three normal distributions with different means but the same standard deviation a= 5 a= 5 a= 5 µ =20 µ =30 µ =40 X
  • 38. I Areas under a normal curve For a normal distribution approximately 1. 68°/o of the observations lie within one standard deviation of the mean 2. 95°/o of the observations lie within two standard deviations of the mean 3. 99.7°/o of the observations lie within three standard deviations of the mean
  • 39. 99.7°/4- - - - - - - - ­ - - - - - - 95 % µ - 30 µ - 20 µ - 0 µ µ +0 µ + 20 µ + 30
  • 40. I Score Scales ■ Raw Scores ■ Percentile Ranks ■ Grade Equivalents (GE) ■ Standard Scores □ Normal Curve Equivalents (NCE) □ Z-scores □ T-scores □ College Board Scores
  • 41. Approximately 34% of the Approximately 34% of the scores fall between the mean scores fall between the mean and one standard devlaUon and one standard deviation below the mean. above the mean. Approximately 14¾ of the Approximately 14¾ of the scores fall between one scores fall between one standard deviation and two standard deviation and two standard deviations below standard deviations above the mean. the mean. 13.59°1• 13.sgo. 2.14o/. -3s -2s -1s x +1s +2s +3s / / I ' ' Two standard One standard Mean (median One standard Two standard deviations below deviation below and mode) deviation above devlatlons above the mean the mean the mean the mean If the meanIs 3.0 (Xa 3 .0 ) and the standard deviatlon is 1.0 (s 1.0) the scores a re as follows: 0.0 (-3 s) 1.0 (-2 s) 2.0 (- 1s) 3.0 ex> 4 . 0 ( + 1 $) 5.0 (+ 2 s ) 6.0 (+ 3s ) Normal Curve
  • 42. Converting an X Value to a z Value For a normal random variable X, a particular value of x can be converted to its corresponding z value by using the formula z == X-µ (J whereµ and cr are the mean and standard deviation of the normal distribution of x, respectively.
  • 43. I T h e Logic of Inferential Statistics ■ Population: the entire universe of individuals we are interested in studying ■ Sample: the selected subgroup that is actually observed and measured (with sample size N) ■ Sampling Distribution of a Statistic: a distribution of samples like ours
  • 44. I T h e Three Distributions Used in Inferential Statistics I. Population III. Sampling Distribution of the Statistic II. Sample